The Tally - As it Unfolded

Here's how I sawe things unfold with the election today.

At 4.30pm (GMT +8) I logged into the ABC election coverage and was aghast at what I saw. Although only 1.6% of the vote had been counted (and primarily in Tasmania where polling closed first) the Liberals had a phenomenal lead gleaned from a 5% swing in their favour and a 2% swing against the ALP (matched by a similar swing to the Greens).

By 6pm when booths were closing in WA, and with 30% of the vote counted, the tally had become a little more even.

PARTY	% OF VOTE	SWING
			Liberal	40.7%	+3.2
National	5.9%	+0.3
Labor	37.7%	-0.2
Greens	7.2%	+2.3
Democrats	>1.4%	-3.9
One Nation	1.1%	-3.2
Others	6.0%	+1.5

It is abundantly clear that the Coalition has gained from the demise of One Nation and that The Greens are reaping additional votes from dissafected ALP and Democrat votes.

On a Two Party preferrred basis the AEC website was showing:

Liberal/National Coalition	1,411,158	53.61	+2.10
Australian Labor Party	1,220,962	46.39	-2.10

Clearly a Coalition win was imminent from the onset.

A sad, sad, day for Australia.

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